[Focused]

Raine,Oct 27 2005, 12:36 PM Wrote:

Oscar The Grouch,Oct 27 2005, 08:53 AM Wrote:

darkpuppet,Oct 27 2005, 09:45 AM Wrote:Avian flu has been around since the early 1900's
[right][snapback]151940[/snapback][/right]

I think this whole avian influenza thing is media hype, just like terrorist plots and end of the world prophecies.

I do think that there will be somewhat of an outbreak, but not a global catastrophe.
[right][snapback]151941[/snapback][/right]

Hope you're in Toronto then when it hits so you can get sick then take it back to North Bay.

If this disease becomes transmissible from human to human it'll be big... estimates are in the range of 50 - 100,000,000 deaths... granted most of those will be in Asia but that number is staggering. Last time we saw death tolls like that was in WWII... Of course the global population then was only 1/5 of what it is today...
[right][snapback]152032[/snapback][/right]

Raine....


currently more than half the people that contract the disease die....all of whom are otherwise healthy...



like i said...you have to read the WHO website [world health organization] and educate yourself....I'll even link you to the FAQ

here are the cold, hard facts.....you ar TOTALLY underestimating the possibility of this pandemic...

IF it does mutate and become transmittable between humans, BEST CASE SCENARIO with people only being mildly diseased 2-7.4 million people will die world wide.


The more the disease is spread around the world via wildlife...the better chances it has to mutate itself and become transmittable between humans.

previous pandemics were in 1918, 1957, 1968 ....in 1918 40million people died world wide ....the mortality rate of the USA was 2.5%

It is currently transmitted via fecies[sp] of the birds,[which come in contact with humas...] and their intestines and what not from processing them for food.

see in parts of europe the birds run free on the peoples land...shitting everywhere...entering homes...and as a result people touching them while they are dirty[the birds] and BAM...they get the disease




anyways....none of this will happen if



a]it doesn't get a chance to go from human to human
b]99% of the birds in the world don't get it before we stop the spread amongst them
c] we have a viable cure to supply to everyone



read the site i linked you guys too....quite intersting...although it may be construed as propaganda....but its all quite factual really....